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What’s the next move for the $ETH whale to dump? Short term (48 hours): Most likely to oscillate between 2,640-2,766. 2,734 is the short-term watershed—if it breaks out with volume, the target is 2,800-2,820; if it fails, it will retest 2,663-2,640. If it falls below 2,576 (liquidation dense zone), 1.154 billion long liquidations will be triggered, possibly accelerating a retest of 2,500-2,400. Mid term: With ETH ETF cumulative net inflow of 13.39 billion + mysterious entities continuously accumulating + OTC whales increasing holdings, ETH still has room under these three core drivers. If the weekly close is above the 100-week moving average, it could open the 3,300 to 3,400 USD range. But with ETF net outflows for five consecutive days + BIT-related addresses taking profits + retail long-short ratio at an extremely crowded 2.27— a pullback could happen anytime. The biggest risk: Below 2,576 triggers 1.154 billion long liquidations + retail long-short ratio at an extremely crowded 2.27 + BIT-related addresses reducing 14,000 ETH above 2,700. This rally is driven by short covering + ETF buying, not spot buying. Once the fuel for short covering runs out, real buying is needed to push prices—if buying doesn’t keep up, the whale will smash prices down to eat that 1.154 billion long liquidation. --- A heartfelt last word: ETH is at 2,692 today, BlackRock bought 149 million in a single day, OTC whales increased holdings by 4,500 ETH, mysterious entities bought 21,520 ETH over 5 consecutive days—bullish news piled high. But BIT-related addresses reduced 14,000 ETH above 2,700, there are 1.154 billion long liquidations below 2,576, and retail long-short ratio is extremely crowded at 2.27—three red alert risks all lit. Some analysis says it clearly: "If buying momentum can’t be maintained, price may test the 2,000 USD support zone or even lower." At 2,692, chasing highs is like sending New Year gifts to the whale. Control your hands, wait for confirmation of a breakout at 2,766 or a retest at 2,640 before acting. Remember, surviving long in crypto is ten thousand times more important than making a lot of money! Meeting adjourned!